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Stock futures rise after strong retail sales


NEW YORK — Stocks are headed to a higher open after holiday shoppers gave retailers a weekend of strong sales and Ireland agreed to a nearly $90 billion bailout package.

The National Retail Federation trade group has estimated that 212 million shoppers visited stores and websites during the first weekend of the holiday season, up from 195 million last year.

Meanwhile, the European Union agreed to give about $90 billion in bailout loans to Ireland. European stocks fell on the news, and the euro hit a fresh two-month low.

Dow Jones industrial average futures are up 27, or 0.2 percent, at 11,056. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures are up 3, or 0.3 percent, at 1,186. Nasdaq 100 index futures are up 1.5, or 0.1 percent, at 2,147.

Stock futures rise after strong retail sales


NEW YORK — Stocks are headed to a higher open after holiday shoppers gave retailers a weekend of strong sales and Ireland agreed to a nearly $90 billion bailout package.

The National Retail Federation trade group has estimated that 212 million shoppers visited stores and websites during the first weekend of the holiday season, up from 195 million last year.

Meanwhile, the European Union agreed to give about $90 billion in bailout loans to Ireland. European stocks fell on the news, and the euro hit a fresh two-month low.

Dow Jones industrial average futures are up 27, or 0.2 percent, at 11,056. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures are up 3, or 0.3 percent, at 1,186. Nasdaq 100 index futures are up 1.5, or 0.1 percent, at 2,147.

Critical Insider Trade Alerts for Wal-Mart, Cree, Gap, QLogic & Salesforce

VANCOUVER, BC--(Marketwire - November 29, 2010) - Due to recent insider trades properly filed with the SEC, Insiderslab.com today releases special stock alerts and investment research reports for following companies: Wal-Mart (WMT), Cree (CREE), Gap (GPS), QLogic (QLGC), & Salesforce (CRM).

By reading the following investment research reports, you can learn about the trades being made by company decisions makers, including CEOs, CFOs, COOs, and directors. The insider trades made by the top people in a company can provide you with valuable research that can help you make more informed investment decisions.

(Read full report by clicking the links, you may need to copy and paste the full link to your browser.)

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT): Market Option Sale made by company C-Level Officers on Nov 23rd, at trade price (US$ 53.84). Disclose date: Nov 26th. Read Full Report: http://www.insiderslab.com/MW/112910A/WMT/Wal-Mart (WMT)

Cree Inc. (CREE): Market Option Sale made by company C-Level Officers and Directors on Nov 24th, at trade price (US$ 63.06). Disclose date: Nov 26th. Read Full Report: http://www.insiderslab.com/MW/112910A/CREE/Cree (CREE)

Gap Inc. (GPS): Open-market Sale made by company C-Level Officers on Nov 26th, at trade price (US$ 20.84). Disclose date: Nov 26th. Read Full Report: http://www.insiderslab.com/MW/112910A/GPS/Gap (GPS)

QLogic Corp. (QLGC): Market Option Sale made by company C-Level Officers and Directors on Nov 24th, at trade price (US$ 18.36). Disclose date: Nov 26th. Read Full Report: http://www.insiderslab.com/MW/112910A/QLGC/QLogic (QLGC)

Salesforce.com (CRM): Open-market Sale made by company C-Level Officers and Directors on Nov 26th, at trade price (US$ 142.70 - 144.81). Disclose date: Nov 26th. Read Full Report: http://www.insiderslab.com/MW/112910A/CRM/Salesforce (CRM)

Interested parties can learn more about Insiderslab.com and subscribe to FREE newsletters that track trades made by C-Level Officers or Directors for all stocks on NASDAQ, SP500, DOWJ, and NYSE, by visiting http://www.insiderslab.com.

Important Disclaimer:
All calculated numbers or statistics are based on best effort. You hereby acknowledge that any reliance upon any Materials in this press release shall be at your sole risk. Please read our report and visit our Web sites, http://www.insiders.hk and http://www.insiderslab.com, for complete risks and disclosures.

Insider Filing Source Reference:
U.S. Securities Exchange and Commission

Lastest Stock Trade News

Sensex slips in early trade
Mumbai, Nov 30 : A benchmark index of Indian equities Tuesday fell sharply in early trade to rule 134 points lower than its previous close.
Read more on New Kerala

Sensex 169 pts low on profit-booking, Asian trend
Mumbai, Nov 30 (PTI) The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark Sensex tanked by almost 169 points in the opening trade today, on profit-booking and a weak trend in Asia.

Sensex opens up; IT, auto bounce back

MUMBAI: Markets in India were trading higher Thursday, as traders bought stocks at lower levels after the previous day’s steep fall and eyeing positive trend in Asian peers.

Leading the rebound were IT, auto, consumer durables while realty , power , capital goods and FMCG continued to languish.

At 9:26 am, Nifty was at 5871.40, up 5.65 points or 0.10 per cent. The National Stock Exchange benchmark opened the day at 5883.95 against Wednesday’s close of 5865.75. The 50-share index saw a high of 5900.15 versus a low of 5870.55.

Sensex traded at 19,534.67, gaining 74.82 points or 0.38 per cent. The Bombay Stock Exchange sensitive index opened at 19,560.25 versus the previous close of 19,459.85. The 30-share index moved between 19,600.88 and 19,528.52 in the early minutes.

“Today, we expect the Indian markets to open flat and make an attempt to rise in the early part of the session. Later it could take cues from the European markets. Among the sectoral indices, Auto stocks could do well while IT, Metals and Oil & Gas could underperform,” said HDFC Securities in its morning note.

EGoM to consider 5 more states for gas allocation

Five more power plants will now be considered for gas allocation by the Empowered Group of Ministers (EGoM). These five companies have been added to the list though a supplementary agenda moved by the petroleum ministry, reports CNBC-TV18’s Mehak Kasbekar.

Here is a verbatim transcript of her comments. Also watch the accompanying video.

Mehak Kasbekar, CNBC-TV18

Excerpts from India Business Hour on CNBC-TV18 Watch the full show »


Its an extremely interesting twist as far as gas allocation is concerned. We are now looking at Petroleum Ministry really batting for public sector units, already there was an agenda note which was cleared by the petroleum ministry but the EGoM unfortunately didn’t take place.

Now the EGoM will take place in the first week of December and there will be five new plants that will be added taking the total to about 14 plants. Five chief ministers of different states have written to the petroleum ministry directly saying that they were not on that proposed list of nine by the power ministry and since these power plants are important for state governments and state utilities they have the right to be on that agenda.

Petroleum ministry seems to be convinced about this and infact what it mentions is primarily the letter written by Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister seeking about 9.72 mmscmd for the APGENCO power plant of about 2700 megawatts each. Its not really clear, how much will this add to the entire capacity, but approximately this will be about 20 to 25 mmscmd for PSUs.

Health Min calls for tighter pharma FDI norms

Health Minister, Ghulam Nabi Azad has called for tighter pharmaceutical FDI norms, reports CNBC-TV18's Rituparna Bhuyan quoting sources.

The health minster has written to the Commerce Minister seeking tighter pharmaceuticals foreign direct investments (FDI) norms. In the letter he said, that he was concerned over the takeover of Indian pharmaceutical companies by multi national companies (MNC) and sought for the Pharmaceutical FDI norms to be revisited immediately from auto to the FIPB route. These measure, he impressed, were essential in order to make affordable medicines accessible.

Health Min calls for tighter pharma FDI norms

There have been six pharmaceutical takeovers between August 2006 and May 2010 valued at around USD 10.45 billion.

The minister has also said that there is no need for rigid Compulsory Licensing (CL) norms. The CL allows non-patent holders to produce and market drugs. The DIPP paper however, has sought views on Compulsory Licensing.

The Minister is of the view that the CL should be issued in case of anti-competitive practices and that there should be no bar in private channels distributing CL products on actual cost basis.

Stocks in news: Money Matters, BHEL, DB Realty, BGR Energy

Here are stocks that are in news today:

Claris Lifesciences IPO subscription as of now (Last Day today): as per NSE
-Total: 0.09 times (x)
-QIB: 0.00x
-NII: 0.01x
-Retail: 0.26x

Bank Bribery Scam

Stocks in news: Money Matters, BHEL, DB Realty, BGR Energy

CBI sources say
-5 companies involved in scam took loan of Rs 1,000 crore
-Companies took loan to invest in stocks, manipulate share prices
-One company took loan of Rs 560 crore, another Rs 300 crore, rest Rs 50-60 crore
-Likely to write to SEBI on share price manipulation

RBI gets into action - sources say
-RBI gets into action; seeks details of all secured loans
-RBI to look into consortium loans okayed by managing comms
-RBI Seeks details from banks on 15 accounts
-All consortium loans run into thousands of crores

Companies under RBI scanner
-BGR Energy, OPG Power, Ashapura Mines, Lavasa
-DB Realty, Entertainment World Lucknow, Mantri Realty
-PK Tayal-Promoted Krishna Group, Suzlon, Pantaloon
-Indore City Treasures, Adani Group, JP Hydro, JSW Energy, Emaar MGF

Cairn - Sources
-Cairn gives into GoI demand; to ask for nod for pre-NELP blocks
-Cairn may request for Govt approval before weekend
Alert: Cairn earlier sought GoI approval for only NELP blocks
-Cairn's letter may not mention ONGC's pre-emptive rights issue
Alert: ONGC has claimed pre-emptive rights
-Cairn India declines to comment
Alert: Cairn has 3 pre-NELP blocks

Kingfisher Airlines okays debt restructuring
-Okays converting Rs 1,360 crore debt from lenders to shares
-To convert Rs 650 crore debt from promoters into shares
-To repay balance debt in 9 years with 2-year moratorium
-Interest rate on balance of debt reduced
-To issue 57.5 crore preference shares to lenders
-Preference shares to lenders redeemable at par in 12 years

DB Realty says
-Received notice from CBI to share loan sanction documents
-Went with documents today but CBI has asked to come back on Friday
-CBI only seeking info on loans sanctioned by Money Matters
-Our executives did go see RR Nair on loan sanction
-There was only 1 meeting with RR Nair in November 2009
-RR Nair wanted certain info on our projects
-No bank will give a loan to a client without a meeting
-No crossholding with DB Realty & Telco Etisalat DB
-CBI has not asked for info regarding link with Etisalat

BHEL
-Board approved setting up of a new BHEL plant as "Power Equipment Fabrication Plant" at Maharashtra.
-Forwarding proposal for initiating the process of merger of Bharat Heavy Plate & Vessels Ltd. (a wholly owned subsidiary) with BHEL

Other stocks and sectors that are in news today:
-Money Matters board to meet on Friday on further action in bribery case: NW18
-Maruti to hire 3000 employees for expanded service network – BS
-Tata Steel eyes more acquisitions – Agencies
-Nahar Poly (Nahar Investments) revises open offer price from Rs 40 to Rs 50
-TEBMA Shipyard open offer at Rs 19.20/sh (Bharti Shipyard acquired majority stake)
-Glodyne Tech: stock split: face value of 10 to become face value 6, approved fund raising
-Pratibha Industries: approves allotment of 50 crore

Ganeshaspeaks: Market prediction for Nov 26

he Moon, today is in the first charan of the Pushya Nakshatra of the zodiac sign, Cancer.

Ganeshaspeaks: Market prediction for Nov 26

From today, Mercury is in conjunction with debilitated Rahu. It's an amazing time. Unless you have delivery strength, do not even enter the market.

The pre-opening time of the market may seem positive, but in reality it may not be so. Initially, it may hover around the surface; plan your deals accordingly.

From 10:12 to 10:25, there may be a bulk deal, which may have a positive effect on Nifty.

From 12:24 to 12:36, do not take any position as the market is likely to go down.

From 12:36 to 14:00, Nifty may be on the downside.

From 14:00 to 15:10, probably, Nifty may go up.

From 15:10 till the last 10 minutes, make the last deal.

Ganesha speaks

“Shri Dharmesh Joshi is a protégé of Bejan Daruwalla and belongs to the team of astrologers declared as official successors to his astrological legacy, by none other than Bejan Daruwalla himself, in an event in Mumbai on the 23rd Nov, 2009.”

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/astrologers on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Mid-term Picks



Broking house: Fullerton Securities has suggested these stocks for mid-term picks.

DISCLAIMER: The views expressed in these pages are from brokerages, analysts and fund managers. Readers should seek professional investment advice before acting on any recommendation. ET does not associate itself with the choices.

SEBI lens on 9 firms for insider trading

MUMBAI: The Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has joined the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) to probe the possibility of insider trading in shares of at least nine companies, including LIC Housing Finance and DB Realty , named by the investigator as involved in the scandal, the biggest in a decade.

“We will look into the linkages between the information allegedly exchanged and the actual market movements. But we may have to wait till we get a more accurate picture of the entities and scrips involved in this,” said a senior SEBI official who did not want to be identified.

Trading in shares of Central Bank of India , Money Matters Financial Services , JSW Power , Religare Enterprises , Adani Enterprises , Pantaloon and Jaypee Hydro are also under the lens, the official said.

CBI on Wednesday created a storm arresting at least eight financial services executives, including LIC Housing chief executive Ramachandran Nair, for allegedly taking bribes for sanctioning loans and passing on information about transactions.

All of them are remanded to custody till Monday. These firms, including Bank of India and LIC Housing, have said they followed set standards in sanctioning loans and these would not jeopardise the interests of shareholders and institutions.

The market regulator has sought information from all the companies named by CBI, even though some of them are not accused of wrongdoing. Trading data from stock exchanges have also demanded an inspection of some people who benefited from such information that was not public. Anyone found guilty has been punished with monetary penalty, including in cases such as Gujarat NRE Coke and Manmohan Shetty of the erstwhile Adlabs.

Insider trading cases are the toughest to prove for regulators across the globe and the record so far in India has been patchy. Even in cases such as the famous one involving Hindustan Lever in the ‘90s, where the regulator penalised, appeals drag on for years before arriving at a conclusion.

SEBI’s advantage also arises from the data at depositories unlike other investigators who are not equipped to handle such information. CBI will pass on the intelligence it has gathered to SEBI, said the same official.

CBI had said LIC investment secretary Naresh Chopra had passed on sensitive insider information about several companies, including JSW Power, Religare, DB Realty, Adani, Jaypee Hydro and Pantaloon, to Rajesh Sharma, the head of Money Matters, an intermediary in bonds and loans syndication. CBI also arrested both Chopra and Sharma on Wednesday.

Broking houses advise caution on LIC Housing

MUMBAI: Analysts have taken a cautious view on short-term prospects of LIC Housing Finance, or LICHF, after the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) arrested its chief executive officer R Nair on corruption charges on Wednesday.

LIC Housing shares fell to Rs 945 intraday, before closing at Rs 1,058, down 1% over its previous close.

In its impact analysis, leading foreign brokerage house Morgan Stanley said: “The impact on earnings is uncertain, given that the situation is still evolving. However , the latest events relating to bribery charges will create pressure on multiples, especially in the context of the large valuation re-rating of the stock over the past two years.”

There was heavy trading in shares on Thursday, with close to 83-lakh shares changing hands on BSE alone, more than six times its two-week average daily volume.

“The corruption charges jeopardise the growth prospects of LICHF on one hand and raise the issue of management change on the other, given that it is the only company where the CEO was charged,” said Edelweiss Research in its report on the company soon after the arrests.

Broking firm Ambit Capital has ruled out any significant impact on the quality of the company’s loan book as the brokerage said: “Such ‘influenced’ loans seem to be a small percentage of the total loan book of LIC Housing Finance, which are not necessarily bad loans.”

Mr Nair has been the face of LIC Housing Finance to the investor community for the past two years and so the corruption charges levelled against him could impact the faith of some long-term investors in the stock, added Ambit Capital.

Ambit also feels a further 5-10 % correction in the LICHF stock could be a good entry point for investors as it believes LICHF, despite the negative events, should trade at a premium \

This is because of LICHF’s long-term competitive advantages in terms of having access to low-cost funds is on the liability side and also to parent LIC’s brand name and distribution channel on the asset side.

MRF reports 39% jump in net profit at Rs. 354 cr

Original

Tyre manufacturer MRF on Thursday reported a 39 per cent jump in its net profit at Rs. 353.98 crore for the year ended September, 2010, over the corresponding period a year ago.

For the year ended September 30, 2009, the company had reported a net profit of Rs. 253.03 crore, the company said in a statement here.

The total income of the company for the year ended September, 30, 2010, rose by 31.50 per cent to Rs. 8,122.42 crore from Rs. 6,176.34 crore a year ago, it said.

The board of directors at its meeting held on Thursday recommended a final dividend of Rs. 19 per share for the year 2010. In addition, the directors also recommended a special dividend of Rs. 25 per share in view of the 50th year of the company, it said.

With the two interim dividends of Rs. 3 each paid early this year, the aggregate dividend for the year is Rs. 50 (500 per cent), it said.

Backed by the strong growth of automobile industry, the company said it has recorded the highest growth in a single year.

The unprecedented increase in the price of natural rubber and other raw materials continues to be a matter of concern, the statement added.

Basu advocates limited regulation of MFIs

Original

Chief Economic Adviser Kaushik Basu on Thursday said microfinance institutions (MFIs) charge high interest rates and need to be regulated, but cautioned against excessive legislation.

"MFI interest rates are high. We need legislation to regulate it (the MFI sector)," Basu said on Thursday.

The microfinance industry faced the heat of Andhra Pradesh state government after a series of suicide cases were reported in the state, which were allegedly caused by the coercive recovery tactics employed by these institutions.

"You have to regulate it, but also have to make sure that you do not regulate it out of existence," he added.

MFIs have been criticised for charging very high interest rates and using strong-arm tactics for loan recovery. MFIs say they extend loans to unbanked areas and so the cost associated with such loans could be as high as 34 per cent of the principal amount. They usually lend money to borrowers through women's groups in remote areas.

Last week, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee had said the Centre intends to regulate the sector, without strangulating it.

Following a spate of suicides in Andhra Pradesh, the state government passed an ordinance on October 15 making it mandatory for all MFIs to register their activities with the district Registering Authority. Furthermore, the MFIs were directed to increase the loan repayment period for self help groups (SHG) to 30 days, as against the earlier practice of 15 days.

This has impacted the collections of MFIs, as loan recovery activities were impacted and bank financing has also become more difficult to secure.

The government is in the process of finalising a draft Bill to ensure the development and orderly growth of the microfinance sector in rural and urban areas. The Bill would be introduced in Parliament after taking into account the views of the Reserve Bank and the recommendations of an RBI sub-committee.

Last month, the Reserve Bank appointed a committee under the chairmanship of YH Malegam to examine the state of the MFI sector. The committee will submit its report by January.

Private equity group KKR to buy Del Monte


Del Monte Foods Co. on Thursday agreed to be bought for $4 billion in cash by a group of investors that includes its former owner in what would be the biggest private equity deal of the year.

An investor group led by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. — which briefly owned Del Monte — Vestar Capital Partners and Centerview Partners agreed to buy the food maker for $19 per share. They will also assume $1.3 billion in debt.

The purchase price is a 6 percent premium to the stock's closing price on Wednesday, though the stock has soared recently on published reports about a possible buyout. The stock is up 59 percent since the beginning of the year, including a 12 percent jump on Nov. 18 when rumors of the deal surfaced.

Del Monte, based in San Francisco, is the owner of several well-known pet-food brands, including Kibbles 'n Bits, Meow Mix and Milk-Bone. It also has food brands under the Del Monte, Contadina, College Inn and S&W names.

The private equity firms in the deal have a long history with food makers.

KKR has bought food and beverage companies such as Beatrice Cos., RJR Nabisco and Borden Foods. It acquired Del Monte as part of its $25.1 billion leveraged buyout of Nabisco in 1989, and then sold Del Monte soon afterward. And Centerview's co-founder, Jim Kilts, is a former CEO of Kraft.

It is also the second pet-food deal of the year for KKR, which acquired British pet retailer Pets At Home in January.

After a lull during the recession, more private equity deals are springing up. At $4 billion, the Del Monte deal is the largest private equity acquisition of the year, ahead of Extended Stay Inc., which agreed to be bought in May for $3.92 billion.

Consumer goods companies have been popular targets lately, which could mean that private equity firms are feeling increasingly confident that consumers are likely to start spending more and keep it up.

On Friday, clothing seller J. Crew Group Inc. agreed to be taken private for $3 billion by TPG Capital and Leonard Green & Partners. And Burger King Holdings agreed to be taken private for $3.26 billion in September.

Del Monte CEO Richard Wolford said the deal "delivers substantial shareholder value and is a clear endorsement of Del Monte's strategic success and effective execution."

In its last fiscal year, which ended in May, Del Monte Foods' profit climbed almost 42 percent while revenue rose 3 percent to $3.74 billion. But in September, Del Monte said its fiscal first-quarter revenue softened on weakness in the consumer business and the company trimmed its expectations for revenue growth this year.

Over the past 10 years, the company has grown through acquisitions, and is now a company that gets more than half of its revenue from pet food. In 2006, it sold its retail private label soup and gravy business as well as its U.S. infant feeding business and acquired the Meow Mix and Milk-Bone brands. It began trading publicly in 1999.

Asian markets mixed as Europe debt worries linger

Asian stock markets were mixed Friday after a muted performance in Europe where concerns remain about the possibility of further bailouts for debt-laden nations in the euro bloc.

Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average added 0.1 percent to 10,088.44 while South Korea's Kospi was down 0.5 percent at 1,917.15. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was up 0.1 percent at 23,071.62.

China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.9 percent to 2,872.81 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 0.2 percent to 4,601.80. Elsewhere, markets in Singapore, Taiwan and New Zealand fell.

Before trading opened in Tokyo, the government released data showing that consumer prices in Japan fell during October compared to a year earlier, for the 20th straight month.

Deflation, which cuts into company profits and can cause job and wage cuts, is a major concern for the country. The Japanese parliament is due to pass a new $61 billion stimulus package later Friday.

The losses in Asia came after limited gains in Europe, where investors were wary of further debt problems across the Continent.

Key indexes in Britain, Germany and France ended higher but stock exchanges in Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Greece — countries at the forefront of investor concerns over Europe's debt crisis — closed lower.

Financial markets in the U.S. were closed for the Thanksgiving holiday.

After the Irish government agreed to austerity measures in exchange for a lifeline from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, concerns remain over whether Portugal or larger Spain will also be forced to ask for bailouts.

TCS shares hit new high, Wipro falls in choppy India

* Tata Consultancy jumps after strong Q2 result, outlook

* Wipro misses forecast; Biocon gains as earnings rise 20
pct
(Updates to afternoon)

By Ami Shah

MUMBAI, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Indian shares seesawed on Friday
propelled by quarterly earnings, with Tata Consultancy Services
(TCS.BO) rallying to an all-time high on robust outlook for
outsourcing and Wipro (WIPR.BO) falling after missing forecast.

Investors were circumspect as a Group of 20 meeting began
in South Korea where officials are seeking a common path on
currencies, trade and macroeconomic imbalances. [ID:nTOE69K01G]

A flood of foreign money flowing into emerging markets
chasing better returns has underpinned Indian stocks, but there
are concerns in the region about the inflows pushing local
currencies up and causing asset bubbles.

At 12:14 p.m. (0644 GMT), the 30-share BSE index .BSESN
was up 0.01 percent at 20,263.39 points, with 17 of its
components advancing.

Kunal Sukhani, manager of institutional equities at Asian
Markets Securities, said investors were rewarding good results
and punishing poor performers.

Tata Consultancy jumped as much as 5.8 percent to a record
1,040.95 rupees after the No. 1 Indian software services
company posted a near 30 percent rise in quarterly profit and
said it expected strong demand for outsourcing. [ID:nSGE69K0I1]

"We have been believers in the strength of the demand
environment and the Tier-I players ability to capture the same.
Infosys (INFY.BO) and now TCS 2QFY11 earnings reports add to
our conviction," Kotak Securities said in a note.

The brokerage raised its end-FY12 target price on TCS to
1,100 rupees from 965 rupees earlier, while retaining a buy
rating.

Wipro, the third-largest outsourcer, fell nearly 4 percent
after missed forecast with a 10 percent rise in second-quarter
profit. [ID:nSGE69L057]

Top-listed biotech firm Biocon (BION.BO) rose 1.3 percent
as its July-September net profit rose by a fifth from a year
ago. [ID:nBMA008678]

Sunder Subramaniam, senior manager of institutional sales
at Sharekhan, said he expected surging foreign fund interest to
support the market.

"It really looks like there is a tsunami of liquidity.
There is nothing to worry as such," he said, referring to a
$3.5 billion IPO by Coal India that was subscribed more than 15
times. [ID:nSGE69K0JD]

The BSE index is up 16 percent this year, thanks to foreign
fund inflows of $23.8 billion.

In the broader market, gainers led losers in a ratio of
1.3:1 on volume of 254 million shares.

The 50-share NSE index .NSEI was down 0.1 percent at
6,094.70.

Elsewhere, the MSCI's measure of Asian markets other than
Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.3 percent, while Japan's Nikkei
.N225 rose 0.5 percent.

STOCKS ON THE MOVE

* Novartis India (NOIN.BO) rose 1.3 percent to 655.10
rupees, after the pharmaceutical and crop protection products
maker said late on Thursday quarterly net profit rose 22
percent. [ID:nWNAS9782]

* Indian Bank (INBA.BO) was up 3 percent at 310.35 rupees
as the state-run lender's July-September net profit increased
12 percent. [ID:nBMB011682]

* Bajaj Corp (BACO.BO) was down 4 percent at 681.40 rupees,
as the light hair oil producer posted a 19 fall in September
quarter net profit. [ID:nSGE69K0IT]

MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME

* Pipavav Shipyard (PIPA.BO) on 17.8 million shares

* Housing Development Infra (HDIL.BO) on 13.7 million
rupees

* Shree Ashtavinayak (SACV.BO) on 5.4 million shares

FACTORS TO WATCH
* For technical analysis double click on www.reutersindia.net
* Indian rupee report
[INR/]
* Indian bonds report
[IN/]
* Dollar supported as G20 meets,charts offer signposts
[FRX]
* Oil gains on stimulus hopes as G20 finance chiefs meet
[O/R]
* Dollar rises before G20; Asia tech shares up
[MKTS/GLOB]
* Shares rise, whipsawed by dollar, earnings
[.N]
* For closing rates of Indian ADRs
INADR
(Reporting by Ami Shah; Editing by Ranjit Gangadharan

REFILE-Indian shares eke out weekly gain; TCS at record

(Refiles to fix figure in para 11)

* BSE Sensex logs first weekly gain in three

* TCS hits all-time high as Q2 earnings beat street view

* Wipro falls as Sept-qtr earnings lag market estimates
(Updates to close)

By Ami Shah

MUMBAI, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Indian shares snapped a two-week
losing streak but closed Friday 0.5 percent lower on weak world
equities and as traders turned cautious on near-term outlook.

Top outsourcer Tata Consultancy Services (TCS.BO) rose as
much as 6.7 percent to a record high of 1,049.90 rupees, after
beating September-quarter earnings estimate, while rival Wipro
(WIPR.BO) shed as much as 5.4 percent as it lagged forecast.

The 30-share BSE index .BSESN shed 0.47 percent or 94.72
points to 20,165.86, with 22 of its components closing in the
red. It rose 0.2 percent on the week.

"The market may be forming an intermediate top," said
Sandip Sabharwal, CEO of portfolio management services at
brokerage Prabhudas Lilladher, who did not rule out a small
correction in near future.

"More or less, we have seen decent results. But, they are
largely turning to be a non-event for the broader market this
time, considering the sharp run up before the results."

So far this year, foreign funds have invested a net $23.8
billion in Indian equities, driving the benchmark index up 15.5
percent.

Investors shovelled in another $5.8 billion into emerging
market funds in the third week of October, with global emerging
market equity funds seeing record inflows for the second time
in three weeks, fund tracker EPFR said. [ID:nSGE69L060]

India's benchmark index has outperformed MSCI's world
equities index .MIWD00000PUS and its emerging markets index
.MSCIEF which have gained 5.4 percent and 11.4 percent
respectively.

"We continue to believe that we are entering another period
of strong growth for tier 1 Indian IT companies," Credit Suisse
said in a note.

It raised its target price on TCS to 1,175 rupees from 940
rupees and maintained an "outperform" rating.

TCS closed 5.7 percent higher after the No. 1 Indian
software services company posted a near 30-percent rise in
quarterly profit and said it expected strong demand for
outsourcing. [ID:nSGE69K0I1]. Infosys Technologies (INFY.BO)
gained 0.7 percent.

Wipro, the third-largest outsourcer, closed 4.5 percent
lower after it missed forecast with a 10-percent rise in
second-quarter profit. [ID:nSGE69L057]

Cigarette-to-hotel business ITC (ITC.BO) shed 1.8 percent,
after rising 3.7 percent in the previous session.

Top-listed biotech firm Biocon (BION.BO) closed 0.3 percent
higher as its July-September net profit rose by a fifth from a
year ago. [ID:nBMA008678]

Declining shares outnumbered advancing ones in the ratio of
1.2:1, on a heavy volume of 561 million shares.

The 50-share NSE index .NSEI dropped 0.6 percent to
6,066.05 points.

Elsewhere, the FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 was down 0.4
percent by 1023 GMT, while the MSCI's measure of Asian markets
other than Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was barely changed.

STOCKS THAT MOVED

* Novartis India (NOIN.BO) rose 2.9 percent to 665.20
rupees, after the pharmaceutical and crop protection products
maker said late Thursday quarterly net profit rose 22
percent.[ID:nWNAS9782]

* Indian Bank (INBA.BO) gained 0.5 percent to 302.80
rupees as the state-run lender's July-September net profit
increased 12 percent. [ID:nBMB011682]

* Bajaj Corp (BACO.BO) dropped 4.2 percent to 680.05
rupees, as the light hair oil maker posted a 19 percent fall in
as the light hair oil maker posted a 19 percent fall in
September-quarter net profit. [ID:nSGE69K0IT]

* Geometric (GEOM.BO) climbed 1.8 percent to 69.55 rupees,
as the company, which provides products, software and
engineering services, posted a 35-percent jump in quarterly net
profit boosted by higher engineering services revenue.
[ID:nSGE69L09C]

MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME

* Pipavav Shipyard (PIPA.BO) on 38.3 million shares

* Shree Ashtavinayak (SACV.BO) on 18.9 million shares

* Housing Development Infra (HDIL.BO) on 15.9 million
rupees

FACTORS TO WATCH
* For technical analysis double click on www.reutersindia.net
* Indian rupee report
[INR/]
* Indian bonds report
[IN/]
* Dlr pares losses, Geithner calls for rebalancing
[FRX]
* Oil gains as weak U.S. data raises stimulus hopes
[O/R]
* Dollar slides before G20, gold and oil rise
[MKTS/GLOB]
* Shares rise, whipsawed by dollar, earnings
[.N]
* For closing rates of Indian ADRs
INADR
(Editing by Malini Menon)

Indian shares rise 0.6 pct on firm Asia

Oct 25 (Reuters) - Indian shares rose 0.6 percent in early trade on Monday, with Reliance Industries (RELI.BO) leading the rise, taking cues from strong Asian markets.

At 9:16 a.m. (0346 GMT), the 30-share BSE index .BSESN was up 0.6 percent at 20,285.88 points, with 29 components advancing.

The 50-share NSE index .NSEI was up 0.7 percent at 6,107.40. (Reporting by Ami Shah)

Indian shares extend rise to 1 pct on day

Oct 25 (Reuters) - Indian shares extended gains to 1 percent in early trade on Monday, with Reliance Industries (RELI.BO) leading the rise, tracking firm Asian markets.

At 9:59 a.m. (0429 GMT), the 30-share BSE index .BSESN was up 1.06 percent at 20,379.46 points, with 27 components advancing.

The 50-share NSE index .NSEI was up 1.3 percent at 6,142.20. (Reporting by Ami Shah)

Indian shares rise 1.3 pct; Reliance up, Wipro falls

* BSE Sensex up on strong Asia, robust foreign fund inflow

* Reliance Industries at more than 6-month high

* Wipro falls on Credit Suisse downgrade to neutral
(Updates to mid-morning)

MUMBAI, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Indian shares on Monday were
trading 1.3 percent higher on strong foreign fund inflows and
firm Asian peers, with energy giant Reliance Industries
(RELI.BO) leading the charge.

Shares in Wipro (WIPR.BO), the country's third-largest
outsourcer, bucked the trend and fell as much as nearly 3
percent after Credit Suisse downgraded the stock to neutral
from outperform. [ID:nBMA008687]

"We were pretty surprised by the weak revenues, as peers
have been rather bullish," Credit Suisse said in a note.

At 11:38 a.m. (0608 GMT), the 30-share BSE index .BSESN
was up 1.31percent at 20,428.95 points, with 29 of its
components advancing.

"The good subscription to the Coal India IPO (initial
public offering) has shown a lot of confidence in the strength
of the market. The refund money will start coming in this week
too," said R.K. Gupta, managing director of Taurus Mutual Fund.

Coal India's $3.5 billion IPO, the country's largest, was
more than 15 times covered by close last Thursday, giving the
government power to price at the top end of 225-245 rupees
range and building momentum for other state offers.
[ID:nSGE69K0JD]

The world's largest coal miner would begin to refund excess
subscriptions for the IPO, which had an institutional order
book of about $27 billion powered by foreign funds, by late
October or early November.

"Barring a few exceptions, (corporate) earnings have
largely been good," said Gupta.

The benchmark index is up 17 percent so far this year, as
foreign funds have pumped in nearly $24 billion in Indian
stocks.

Reliance Industries, which has the highest weight on the
Sensex, rose as much as 1.8 percent to 1,101 rupees, its
highest level in more than six months.

The stock, has lagged the broader market rally for the year
to date, and is up only 0.9 percent in 2010.

Tata Motors (TAMO.BO) raced 2.1 percent after the Wall
Street Journal reported the vehicle maker's Jaguar Land Rover
is in talks with a Chinese automaker to establish a
manufacturing and sales joint venture in China. [ID:nSGE69N03K]

Dr Reddy's Laboratories Ltd (REDY.BO) was up 1.5 percent
after the No. 2 drugmaker by sales reported on Saturday a 32-
percent jump in quarterly net profit, topping estimates.
[ID:nSGE69L0KW]

Hindustan Unilever (HLL.BO), the country's largest
household products and consumer goods maker was trading 1.8
percent higher ahead of its September-quarter results.

In the broader market, gainers were more than twice the
number of loser on a volume of 187 million shares.

The 50-share NSE index .NSEI was up 1.3 percent at
6,144.80 points.

Elsewhere, the MSCI's measure of Asian markets other than
Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 1.8 percent, while Japan's Nikkei
.N225 shed 0.3 percent.

STOCKS ON THE MOVE

* Piramal Healthcare (PIRA.BO) was down 4.4 percent at
492.75 rupees after the drugmaker said last week it planned to
buy back up to 20 percent equity at 600 rupees a share.
[ID:nSGE69L0I5]

* OnMobile Global (ONMO.BO) was up 1.7 percent at 375
rupees as the mobile content provider said its July-September
net profit more than doubled. [ID:nSGE69O04L]

* Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (MMFS.BO) was up
6.5 percent to 697 rupees after the financial services provider
reported a strong quarter driven by robust disbursements and
containing interest cost. [ID:nSGE69L0K2]

MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME

* Ballarpur Industries (BILT.BO) on 5 million shares

* Pipavav Shipyard (PIPA.BO) on 2.8 million shares

* K.S. Oils (KSOI.BO) on 2.2 million shares

FACTORS TO WATCH
* For technical analysis double click on www.reutersindia.net
* Indian rupee report
[INR/]
* Indian bonds report
[IN/]
* Dollar resumes drop after G20, eyes on Fed
[FRX]
* Oil tops $82 ahead of Bernanke speech as dollar
weakens[O/R]
* Dollar falls, commodities jump after G20 steps
[MKTS/GLOB]
* Wall St posts third straight weekly gain
[.N]
* For closing rates of Indian ADRs
INADR
(Reporting by Ami Shah; editing by Malini Menon)


















































Indian rupee gains on dollar fall; shares boost

* Hopes for foreign inflows strong; share gains boost

* Dlr's broad losses versus major currencies also aids rupee

* INR seen touching 45/dlr this wk due to Coal India outflows

(Updates to close)

By Swati Bhat

MUMBAI, Oct 25 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee rose on Monday, pulling back from its biggest fall in a month-and-half in the previous session as gains in domestic shares fuelled hopes for more inflows while a weak dollar also helped sentiment.

The partially convertible rupee INR=IN closed at 44.35/36 per dollar, half a percent stronger than 44.59/60 at close on Friday when it dropped 0.65 percent, in its biggest one-day fall since early September.

"The dollar-rupee is bouncing end-to-end from sell zone of 44.55-44.65 and buy zone of 44.25-44.35," said J. Moses Harding, head of global markets at IndusInd Bank in Mumbai.

"Two factors are dominating now - general dollar weakness ahead of quantitative easing 2 and Coal India IPO outflows in the first week of November. These two forces are good enough to keep the rupee in a tight range within 44.25-44.65".

The dollar dropped broadly on Monday, hitting a 15-year low versus the yen, as a Group of 20 agreement to shun competitive currency devaluations was taken as a green light to resume dollar-selling by investors. [USD/]

The index of the dollar .DXY against six major currencies was down 0.8 percent when the rupee market closed.

"The euro was mainly being watched. Oil bids were there but there was also counter selling pressure from the currency futures market," said Abhijit Ray, a foreign exchange dealer with state-run Allahabad Bank in Mumbai.

Oil CLc1 is India's biggest import and refiners are the largest buyers of dollars in the domestic currency market with their demand tending to peak at the end of each month when they are required to make payments.

"When Coal India outflows happen, its possible for the rupee to drop to 45," Allahabad Bank's Ray said.

Coal India's $3.5 billion IPO, the country's largest, was more than 15 times subscribed last week, giving the government power to price the issue at the top of its range and building momentum for other state offers. [ID:nSGE69K0JD]

The world's largest coal miner would begin to refund excess subscriptions for the IPO, which had an institutional order book of about $27 billion powered by foreign funds, by late October or early November and most traders expect the rupee to weaken towards 45 at that time.

Indian shares provisionally close up 0.7 pct

Oct 25 (Reuters) - Indian shares provisionally closed 0.7 percent higher on Monday, led by gains in financials, with firm world equities supporting the sentiment.

The 30-share BSE index .BSESN provisionally ended up 141.23 points at 20,307.09, with 22 components gaining.

The 50-share NSE index .NSEI provisionally closed up 0.7 percent at 6,109.45 points.

(Reporting by Ami Shah; editing by Malini Menon)

Is there any correlation between Sensex and Indian’s GDP growth?

The Sensex is often not in sync with the real economy. The movements in the benchmark index of the domestic capital markets have often been completely opposite to the happenings in the economy and those of the critical economic indicators.

History speaks for itself…


94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

Nominal GDP
growth

17.4%

17.0%

15.9%

11.8%

15.0%

10.2%

8.0%

9.9%

7.8%

11.7%

Real GDP
growth

7.3%

7.3%

7.8%

4.8%

6.5%

6.1%

4.4%

5.8%

4.0%

8.5%

BSE Sensex*

13.7%

3.3%

0.2%

15.8%

3.9%

33.7%

27.9%

3.7%

12.1%

83.4%

BSE-100

12.2%

3.5%

5.5%

15.9%

2.7%

75.8%

41.7%

1.4%

12.5%

97.6%

BSE-200

NA

6.3%

4.9%

14.9%

0.8%

63.9%

41.1%

7.4%

8.9%

104.3%

Why if sensex falls there is news in the markets Indian economy not performing well?

Sensex is not a relevant index it is a quite narrow index just 30 companies cannot rule our Indian economy.

Sensex slips below 9000

Sensex slips below 9000 for 1st time since June 14, 2006

Source : moneycontrol.com

The market shattered after the RBI credit pollcy announcement. The Sensex has broken 9000 mark for the first times since June 14, 2006 and the Nifty also slipped below 2700. Metal, banking, realty, power, oil and auto stocks are extremely under pressure.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the credit policy. It has kept all key rates unchanged. The GDP growth forecast has lowered to 7.5-7.8% as against 8% earlier. Inflation target remained unchanged at 7% by March end. The credit growth stood at 29% currently but the RBI has kept target of 20%.

Mkts @ 11:08 am : Nifty tests 2800; metal, realty, power, auto stocks plunge

The market is reeling extremely under pressure. The BSE Sensex is trading below 9500 mark and the Nifty has tested 2800 level. Asian markets have plunged further, down 3-9%, which is putting presure on our markets.

The selling is seen in metal, realty, power, pharma, auto, oil & gas and midcap stocks. Not a single stock is in the green in both indices.

The Reserve bank of India (RBI) has kept repo rate and SLR unchaged.

At 11:08 am, the Sensex slipped 347 points to 9,424 and the Nifty fell 124 points to 2,818. The BSE Midcap and Small Cap indices lost over 2-3%.

The market breadth is extremely weak; about 721 shares have advanced while 2255 shares have declined. Nearly 214 shares are unchanged.

Among the frontliners, Suzlon Energy, Hindalco, NALCO, Unitech and Sterlite Industries fell 10-19%. Power Grid Corp, M&M, Ranbaxy Labs, HDFC and Tata Motors lost 7-9%.

BSE Metal Index fell over 7%. Healthcare, Auto, Realty, Power, Capital Goods, Oil and TECK indices lost 3-5%.

Markets @ 10:24 am : Sensex below 9500; Hindalco, Sterlite, Bharti top losers

The market has extended losses further on account of huge selling in metal, realty, auto, pharma and banking stocks. Asian markets are extremely under pressure. Midcap and small cap stocks are also down.

The Sensex tumbled 320 points to 9,451 and the Nifty lost 115 points to 2,828, at 10:24 am. The BSE Midcap Index fell 2% to 3,311 and the Small Cap Index lost 1.23% to 3,917.

After months of the financial crisis gripping the developed countries, the fear is now spreading to emerging markets. Countries in Eastern Europe as well as Pakistan are reeling under the possibility of sovereign defaults. Bhanu Baweja, Head - Global Emerging Market Research of UBS feels our capital markets are globalised, and even economy to a very large extent is more globalised today, than it was ten years back. Thus emerging markets will come down with the global economy, just as they went up with it.

Market breadth is very weak; about 835 shares have advanced while 2136 shares declined. Nearly 219 shares are unchanged.

Among the fronliners, Suzlon Energy fell 19.26%. NALCO, Hindalco, Unitech and Sterlite Industries lost 10-16%. Power Grid Corp, Idea Cellular, Bharti Airtel, HDFC Bank, Tata Motors and Tata Steel plunged 5-9%. Not a single stock is in the green on the Sensex and the Nifty.

The BSE Metal Index slipped nearly 7%. Realty Index plunged 5%. Healthcare, Auto, Bankex, Power, Oil & Gas and TECK fell 3-4%.

Markets @ 10:04 am : Mkts plunge on weak Asian cues; Sensex tests 9500

The market has been continued to trade sharply lower and has opened with sharp cut in the early trade. This fall is due to the weak trend in the Asian markets. Selling is seen metal, realty, banking, telecom, capital goods, oil and auto stocks.

At 10:04 am, the Sensex fell 216 points to 9,555 and the Nifty tumbled 74 points to 2,868. The BSE Midcap index lost 1.4% to 3,332.

ONGC, Bharti Airtel, Reliance Industries, SBI, HDFC Bank, Power, Grid Corp, DLF, TCS, NTPC, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance Communication and Infosys are major contributors to this fall.

Tata Steel fell another 6%, as the S&P has downgraded its UK outlook to stable from positive.

Glenmark Pharma tumbled over 12%. Glenmark and Eli Lily suspended Osteoarthritis Molecule development.

Asian markets are trading sharply lower. Nikkei, Kospi, Straits Times, Hang Seng and Jakarta tumbled 5-9%. Taiwan and Shanghai lost 3% and 0.68%, respectively.

After three attempts at a rally the Dow finally managed to eke out 2% gains in late trade.The Nasdaq though shed 11 points as some of the biggest names on the index were pummeled by a weak outlook for the consumer. The S&P 500 meanwhile closed with gains of a percent and a half. The Dow advanced 172.04 points, or 2.02%, to 8,691.25. The S&P 500 index gained 11.33 points, or 1.26%, to 908.11, and the Nasdaq slipped 11.84 points, or 0.73%, to 1,603.91.

Market cues:

FIIs net sell USD 67.7 million in equity

MFs net buy Rs 17.5 crore in equity

RBI monetary policy today, street expects SLR cut

SEBI didn’t issue directive to FIIs to unwind existing positions: Sources

SEBI doesn’t want fresh positions, still collating data: Sources

Finmin sources say FIIs must unwind positions taken after Oct 20

F&O cues:

NSE F&O Open Int down by Rs 1618 crore at Rs 69806 crore

Futures Open Int down by Rs 3259 crore, Options Open Int up by Rs 1641 crore

Stock futures shed 40 lakh shares in Open Int

Nifty Oct at 9-point discount, Nov at 5-point discount

Nifty futures net add 3 lakh shares in Open Int, rollover at 37%

Nifty Open Int PCR at 0.71 vs 0.73

Nifty Puts add 1.3 lakh, Calls add 24 lakh shares in Open Int

Nifty 2900 Put adds 4.5 lakh shares in Open Int

Nifty 3200 Put sheds 1.7 lakh shares in Open Int

Nifty 2900 Call adds 9.4 lakh shares in Open Int

Nifty 3000 Call adds 7.2 lakh shares in Open Int

Reliance Q1 net up 13 pct, meets forecast

MUMBAI (Reuters) - Reliance Industries Ltd, India’s biggest company, met forecasts with a 13 percent rise in quarterly profit, but analysts were disappointed after four quarters of 20 percent-plus earnings growth.

The petrochemicals and refinery giant, valued at $77 billion, said strong refining margins helped overshadow sluggish growth at its petrochemicals business, and analysts expect a new refinery and gas output to boost earnings in the coming quarters.

It is expected to begin producing gas from its deep-sea fields off India’s east coast by September.

A 580,000 barrels-per-day refinery, being built by unit Reliance Petroleum in western India was 94 percent complete, the company said this week, and analysts expect the project could also start operations in the September quarter.

Reliance Industries, India’s top petrochemicals maker, already runs the country’s biggest refinery, a 660,000 barrels-per-day unit at the same location, and the new refinery will make the combined facility the biggest in the world.

“We will play major role in India’s energy security as we are focusing to be among the top leaders in the world in the oil and gas sphere,” Chairman Mukesh Ambani said in a statement.

Reliance said net profit rose to 41.1 billion rupees ($976 million) in its fiscal first quarter ended June 30 from 36.3 billion reported a year earlier, helped by refining margins.

Net sales grew to 430.5 billion rupees from 312.9 billion.

Analysts had forecast a net profit of 41.4 billion rupees on net sales of 418.7 billion in a Reuters poll.

Reliance said gross refining margins were $15.7 a barrel, well above the benchmark Asian Dubai crack margin, which averaged about $8 a barrel in the June quarter. The margins, which were $15.4 a year earlier, are bolstered by the refinery’s ability to process cheaper, high-sulphur crude oil.

“The numbers are just not up to the mark. The refining margins were particularly disappointing. We were expecting in excess of $16,” V.K. Sharma, head of research at Anagram Stock Broking said.

“The stock is not going to react positively tomorrow. The market is no more generous.”

Ahead of the news, shares in Reliance rose 1.8 percent to 2,306.55 rupees in a market that fell 1.1 percent.

Sluggish margins in petrochemicals clipped the pace of earnings growth for Reliance. Raw material consumption costs rose 75 percent in the quarter to 335.3 billion rupees due to higher price of crude and naptha, a key input for petrochemicals.

Exports more than doubled to 283.6 billion rupees, with fuel contributing most, the company said.

The company said its capital expenditure in the quarter was 72.15 billion rupees, primarily in the oil and gas business. It plans to add six more rigs by year-end to its fleet of six for development and exploration.

Shares in Reliance dropped 7.6 percent in the June quarter, outperforming a 10 percent fall in the sector index and a 14 percent decline in the broader market index.

What Stock Market Performance doesn't often tell You

In 2009, when the stock market began to recover and show a certain amount of steady purpose everyone finally heaved a sigh of relief. But after Enron, Lehman Brothers and all those companies that seem better at cooking their books than actually doing anything productive, are you really sure that the company you have invested in is doing as well they say it is? It's just that at a time like this when the economy seems to be on the rebound, and the managers don't really have an excuse to give their shareholders for why their companies aren't doing so well, there is a real temptation for everyone to begin a nice rewarding journey down the path of alternative reality. Serious investors don't just take the company's word for it, or even the word of the company's stock market performance. They look closely at the company's books, to see how the company really claims to be profitable.

In fact, looking past even the balance sheet, and turning into real professional investigative analyst is what it takes these days to run a successful mutual fund or any brokerage firm. For instance, you're not supposed to just look at what a company's earnings are. What would you do with the company's "earnings"? They show cash items as well as non-cash items. If you just look at the earnings, the company can pull quite a bit of trickery there. For instance, the company is allowed to show as "expenses" each year a certain percentage of all the assets it owns. If the company spends $10 million this year on an office building, and it expects to use the building for the next ten years, they can write off $1 million each year as depreciation. This would come out of the earnings it made. If a company wanted to artificially dress up its earnings, it could just not care to take that million out. You need to be able to judge exactly what a company's earnings are, to be able to understand that the stock market performance in context.

To catch them at this one, you'll need to go back and study their accounts, to see how much they invested in assets, and how much they have been writing off every year. This way, you can actually find out which companies are the most responsible. Simple stock market performance doesn't really tell you enough anymore. An irresponsible company that holds to shortsighted policies may actually show better profits for a few years in a row than another more responsible rival. Home Depot for instance for long has been particularly responsible, even at the expense of short-term popularity in stock market performance. What you need to really look at is how much the company generates at the till - in cash flow. Once there is a lot of cash coming in, you can be pretty confident the company is doing well. Earnings don't really tell you that much.

Take an airline stock for instance. They have to spend a great deal on new airplanes, maintenance, operations. A popular airline for instance, spends about two dollars for each share it has out, while it earns only maybe two cents a share. The earnings are not attractive at all, because the airline has been spending money on its future. But then if you look at all the money it makes in ticket sales, it's pretty impressive. If you look at a railway company, like Union Pacific Railway, for every share they have out, they invest about four dollars in locomotives and such. But they only report about two dollars as depreciation. And they keep doing this every year. With so little depreciation for so much expense, they certainly have a way of looking better than they are in stock market performance. This is the way then to gauge the company's worth when you invest. Just looking at how well they do in the stock market will no longer do.